福島県環境創造センター
Fukushima Environmant Creation Center

This paper estimates the current and future distribution of vacant dwellings within municipalities.The number of vacant dwellings-the difference between the numbers of dwellings and househokls in the regionmesh-is estimated using the building point date and the national census.We compare the number of dwellings given in the building point date and in the Housing and Land Survey to have a corrent estimation of the number of dwellings.To estimate the number of future vacant dwellings,we calculate the changes in the number of households and compare them with the number of dwellings of the building point date.The results show that in case of the Chiba Prefecture,the vacansy rate may exceed 40% at the eastem coastline of the prefecture and the vacant dwellings are more likely to increase in areas where populations are aging.